Bitcoin is recovering from a steady price decline while ether options traders anticipate another high-water mark after it hit an all-time high of $1,439.
Bitcoinâs price fell Wednesday, going as low as $33,430 around 15:00 UTC (10 a.m. ET), according to CoinDesk 20 data. Itâs been a long and mostly downward direction for the price. The worldâs oldest cryptocurrency was at a high of $36,794 just 24 hours ago. It fell over $3,300 before picking up somewhat, at $35,023 as of press time.Â
Constantin Kogan, partner at crypto investment firm Wave Financial, has a bearish outlook, anticipating a fall to at least $30,000. âThis is where the bulls will begin to actively buy back. If we pass this mark it might drop to almost $26,000,â he told CoinDesk. âAccording to a Bank of America survey, long bitcoin has become the busiest type of trade.â
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Kogan dubbed Wednesdayâs crypto spill âa small squeeze.â A squeeze in the derivatives market certainly occurred over the past 24 hours. Jan. 19âs long liquidations, which included early Asian hours trading leading into Wednesdayâs market, totaled $121 million. âLiquidationsâ is the equivalent of a margin call in crypto whereby a leveraged traderâs position gets wiped out.
On Jan. 10, the last time a large number of long liquidations occurred, $555 million in bull-placed leveraged trades were called in and the bitcoin market crumbled to $30,300.Â
However, Michael Stark, a market analyst at FX broker Exness, expects larger financial players to continue to plow dollars into the bitcoin market as investors continue avoid ârisk-offâ assets like gold and look into ârisk-onâ instruments like equities and crypto.Â
âBitcoin will almost certainly continue upward eventually, but everything needs to pause here and there,â Stark said.
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With a new U.S. president, inaugurated Wednesday, bringing a new set of policies â including an expectation of more fiscal stimulus â traders may be getting optimistic that more dollars flooding into the economy might bring about higher crypto prices. The bitcoin market overall is still in bull mode; less than a month ago, the spot price per 1 BTC was below $25,000.
However, nothing is certain, notes Joshua Mahony, a senior market analyst at trading platform IG. The question for markets now is whether the U.S. Congress remains divided politically, âwith Biden hoping that Democrats will vote along party lines to help him push through a raft of grandiose spending packages,â Mahony said.
The second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, ether (ETH), was down Wednesday, trading around $1,338 and falling 3.8% in 24 hours as of 21:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET).
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Etherâs price also declined Wednesday, though not by as much as bitcoinâs. In fact, current-day options orientation in the ether market heavily favors calls, according to Skew. Call options are the right, but not obligation, to buy an asset at a set price and time. Calls are currently dominating those options, 66% versus 34% for puts, which are contracts giving the right, but not the obligation, to sell.Â
Wave Financialâs Kogan, although bearish on bitcoin for now, expects more bullish results out of ether in the near term. It appears options traders agree, given the way they are positioned. âThe expected rollback of ether did not follow bitcoin, which indicates the strength of ETHâs trend,â Kogan said. âWe are waiting for a pullback to $1,300 (but) in a couple of days, the growth will resume and very soon we might see the $1,800 mark.â
Digital assets on the CoinDesk 20 are almost all red Wednesday Notable winners as of 21:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET):
Notable losers:
Equities:
Commodities:
Treasurys: