Higher spot volumes Wednesday â and record volumes for the past month â are helping push bitcoin higher. Meanwhile, ether options for December pass 550,000 ETH.
Bitcoin made gains for the third straight day this week, going as high as $18,474 according to CoinDesk 20 data. The price slipped, however, to $17,688 as of press time.Â
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The last time bitcoin was in this range occurred way back in December 2017. âIn general, the market sentiment is still very bullish,â said Andrew Tu, an executive at quant firm Efficient Frontier. âIt is possible that we range between $17,500 and $18,300 for a bit. However, it seems likely in the coming days that we break the $18,300 resistance.âÂ
Constantin Kogan, managing director at Wave Financial, points to a $18,690-$18,950 âresistanceâ area where exchange books have a number of sell orders piled up, though he expects bitcoin to push above that soon. âIâm bullish, personally,â he told CoinDesk.Â
Volumes were much higher than normal Wednesday, with major spot USD/BTC over $1.6 billion as of press time, surpassing this past monthâs Nov. 5 high.Â
âWeâve had a strong run up from $13,200, which was only a couple of weeks ago, and I think itâs now gunning for the all time high,â noted Rupert Douglas, head of institutional sales for crypto brokerage Koine. However, Douglasâ outlook mirrors Sir Isaac Newtonâs famous dictum that what goes up must come back down. âAt some stage weâre going to see a flush down to $13,000. The trend is up but it wonât be without volatility,â said Douglas.
The bitcoin derivatives market, which was nascent in the last major bull run, continues to see open interest rise. Bitcoin options on major venues, for example, are at over $4 billion as of press time, the highest they have ever been and a sign some smart money is looking to hedge away any risks volatility may â or may not â bring.Â
âTodayâs active options market â which was nonexistent back in 2017 â is keeping any meteoric rises in check,â said Micah Erstling, a trader at firm GSR.Â
Nevertheless, Erstling sees more money piling in because of cryptoâs eye-popping performance so far in 2020. âSeasoned investors are finding it increasingly hard to argue with bitcoinâs performance â over 133% year-to-date, and up 100% over the last year.â
The second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, ether (ETH), was down Wednesday, trading around $472 and slipping 2% in 24 hours as of 21:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET).
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The amount of open ether options for December expiration has surpassed 550,000 ETH, worth more than $260 million as of press time.
Traders are likely taking bets about the future of Ethereumâs technical roadmap to â2.0â, an ambitious effort to insert staking and higher efficiency while porting over its native asset, ether. Â
âOur theory is that this open interest pattern in ETH was strictly due to traders positioning themselves for an ETH 2.0 phase 0 launch, or yet another delay,â said Greg Magadini, chief executive officer of options data aggregator Genesis Volatility. âEven while BTC options had open concentrated in different expiration months, ETH consistently had open interest concentrated in December.â
Digital assets on the CoinDesk 20 are mixed Wednesday, mostly red. Notable winners as of 21:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET):
Notable losers:
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