MicroStrategy, Tesla and Square have done it. So have many others, although more quietly. Â
Iâm talking about holding corporate treasury reserves in bitcoin. This trend is attracting attention even from trade press. Consultancies and crypto companies are scrambling to launch services to help businesses navigate the process. âMad Moneyâ host Jim Cramer thinks itâs âalmost irresponsibleâ for companies to not do so. This week, sponsored content from Deloitte explaining the benefits and risks appeared in the Wall Street Journal.
Youâre reading Crypto Long & Short, a newsletter that looks closely at the forces driving cryptocurrency markets. Authored by CoinDeskâs head of research, Noelle Acheson, it goes out every Sunday and offers a recap of the week â with insights and analysis â from a professional investorâs point of view. You can subscribe here.
Whether itâs a good idea or not â thatâs up to each corporate treasurer to decide â one question weâre starting to hear is: What about ether?
Would the native token of the Ethereum blockchain make a good corporate reserve asset?
The main arguments for bitcoin as a corporate reserve asset are:
This last point is key, as the main role of the corporate treasury function is the preservation of capital. Here bitcoinâs leading value proposition â as a store of value â comes into play.
Critics will point out that bitcoin is way too volatile to be a store of value. Thatâs a short-term view of the concept, however. Over the next week, month, perhaps even year, bitcoinâs price may fall relative to fiat currencies. Longer term, however, in an environment of money supply increasing much faster than demand, a fixed-supply bearer asset such as bitcoin is likely to appreciate in value relative to assets without a fixed supply, such as the U.S. dollar. As investor Paul Tudor Jones pointed out, even at only the 2% inflation target, cash is a âwasting asset.â
Do these arguments hold for ether?
Not so much, no. But that doesnât mean ether wonât end up on corporate balance sheets.
Etherâs supply has no limit. It is still considered a store of value, however, as its supply growth is modest (currently around 4%, expected to decrease over time) and likely to remain well below growth in demand.
Yet the store of value narrative is not â at this stage â the main driver behind ETHâs investment case, especially in the eyes of institutional investors.
Ethereum is seen more as a technology play. More than that, itâs one of the more liquid, experimental technology plays accessible to investors today. Itâs not just trying to build a faster rocket or streamline dentistry. Itâs aiming to reinvent the way automated applications of any type are run. Its goal is to build the ultimate base layer of a global digital economy. As well-known macro analyst Jim Bianco said earlier this week, decentralized finance is ârecreating the entire financial system.â Ethereum-based applications are also likely to impact markets, governance, energy, public services, perhaps even how identity is managed.
Whatâs more, this will happen on a network that can reach anyone, anywhere, who can connect to a public network.
Bitcoin is also a technology bet â it unleashed on the world an entirely new way of transmitting value. But the basic parameters were baked in at conception. Meaningful upgrades are few and years in the making.
Ethereum is not only a bet on the growth of a decentralized economy, itâs also a bet on a whole new type of connectivity and innovation layer. And its technology is not yet fully formed.
Because it is such an early bet on such a radical innovation, the risk is even higher than with bitcoin. This can be seen in its volatility:
If bitcoinâs volatility is a deterrent for corporate treasurers, ether is understandably even more so.
This doesnât mean that ether wonât end up on corporate balance sheets, however. Rather than as corporate reserves, itâs more likely to do so in working capital.
Ether is needed to power applications on Ethereum, either as an input or for the transaction fees. Â Any company hoping to use the Ethereum platform for internal processes such as contract management, collateral allocation or yield optimization, or for client-facing services such as trading, lending or insurance, will need a steady supply.
The launch of ETH futures on the CME earlier this year will encourage this, as it offers tools to reduce the volatility risk. The maturation of ETH options will further support risk management.
The accumulation of ether as working capital may have already started. This week, Meitu â a software and social media app company listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange â disclosed purchases in bitcoin and ether of approximately $18 million and $22 million respectively, and had this to say about its ether purchase:
âThe Group is currently evaluating the feasibility of integrating blockchain technologies to its various overseas businesses ⦠the ether purchased would become the gas reserve for the Groupâs potential dAPP(s) to consume in the future.â
It is early days yet as few companies outside the crypto industry have integrated Ethereum-based applications. Signs are emerging that interest is awakening, however. This week, multinational insurance company Aon Mutual, whose origins go back more than 100 years, embarked on a decentralized insurance pilot. Last month we reported that Deutsche Telekom, Europeâs largest telecommunications company by revenue, was experimenting with decentralized data.
As Ethereum use cases begin to impact traditional businesses, and as even more crypto companies using decentralized applications grow to meaningful size, we will start to hear more mainstream conversations about ether on balance sheets.
Greater focus on the assetâs role in powering digital processes will add another layer to its value proposition. As we saw above, ether is a technology play. It is also a store of value. Institutional investors are increasingly interested in ETH for these reasons. Going forward, ETH is likely to also benefit from a growing recognition of its role as a consumable commodity.
âDigital oil,â if you will, to bitcoinâs âdigital gold.â
According to sources, Goldman Sachs has relaunched its cryptocurrency trading desk after a three-year hiatus and plans to once again support bitcoin futures trading. TAKEAWAY: By this stage, we donât actually need further proof that the âinstitutions are here,â but here it is anyway. Goldman wouldnât be doing this if its clients werenât asking for it. As if to emphasize the point, news came out this week about a Goldman client survey that shows that, out of 280 respondents, 40% have exposure to cryptocurrencies and 22% of respondents expect the price of bitcoin to be over $100,000 in 12 months.
Other surveys produce different results. JPMorgan surveyed 3,400 institutional investors, 78% of whom said it was unlikely their firm will invest in or offer trading services for crypto.
Galaxy Digitalâs institutional-grade ether funds have raised over $32 million since their February launch, according to documents filed this week with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. TAKEAWAY: The distribution is still relatively narrow, but not insignificant â five institutional investors have placed sizable bets on the evolution of the Ethereum blockchain. (See our special report on the differences between bitcoin and ether from an institutional investment perspective.)
Crypto custodian BitGo has received approval from the New York Department of Financial Services (NYDFS) for a New York trust charter. TAKEAWAY: This brings more crypto custody services, this time from one of the longest-standing businesses in the industry, to Wall Street hedge funds and, even more intriguingly, to Wall Street banks, who just might be interested in offering this service to their clients.
Crypto exchange Kraken is contemplating a public listing in 2022, according to an interview with the CEO Jesse Powell on Bloomberg TV. TAKEAWAY: As one of the largest exchanges in the industry, a Kraken listing would give us more valuable insight into market plumbing. So far, we only have the Coinbase filing documents to go by, and â eye-opening as they were â they donât yet paint a full picture of the industryâs potential.
Cipher Mining Technologies, a newly formed U.S.-based bitcoin mining operation formed from bitcoin mining hardware giant Bitfury Top HoldCo and Good Works Acquisition, a special purpose acquisition company, have agreed to merge, with an enterprise value of $2.0 billion. TAKEAWAY: So far, mining businesses dominate the roster of listed crypto companies. The more, the merrier â better insight into industry fundamentals, as well as more flexibility in crypto exposure for portfolios.
The Bloomberg terminal now provides price data for six more crypto assets: orchid, omg network , EOS, chainlink , tezos and stellar lumens. TAKEAWAY: To be filed under âincreasing institutional interest in decentralized finance.â