Nouriel Roubini was in full attack mode in his latest crypto debate.
âThe entire crypto land is more unequal in terms of income and wealth than North Korea,â he said Wednesday afternoon, and the jabs didnât stop there, with the former Clinton administration economist, better known as âDr. Doomâ for his prediction of the 2008 financial collapse, taking his criticism of all things crypto to new levels.
Still, this was perhaps to be expected. After antics onstage at the Milken Institute Global Conference earned him headlines, the organizers of the Fluidity Summit invited Roubini to go toe-to-toe with ConsenSys founder Joseph Lubin, with Roubini playing the bear to Lubinâs bull.
Long a cryptocurrency basher, Roubini didnât make a different case this time, though his arguments were perhaps distinguished by their breadth and energy. (The moderator, former COMEX Chair Donna Redel, even went so far as to use a whistle on him at one point to rein in the conversation).
Alleging various miners, exchanges and cryptocurrencies have cultish followings, Roubini argued against the idea cryptocurrencies are decentralized, positing that these groups tend to have significant sway over the development direction a protocol takes.
Roubini told the audience:
âThe whole point of the crypto world is to say we donât believe in central banks ⦠everything is going to be decentralized. I see totally the opposite in crypto land.â
As expected, Lubin came to the industryâs defense with point-by-point counter examples that articulated a broad thesis for how blockchain will enact change.
âWeâre building systems that are fundamentally, atomically about collaboration,â Lubin said.
It was a capstone conversation to a day of cheerleading institutional investment in crypto. Perplexingly, some of Roubiniâs toughest barbs seemed to thrill much of the crowd, though itâs hard to tell if this represented real sentiment or if crypto enthusiasts just love a good show.
Nevertheless, investor Jehan Chu of Kenetic Capital saw the crowd as very much on team crypto.
He told CoinDesk:
âThis isnât winning hearts and minds. Everyone is here to do business.â
And much of this is a credit to Lubin, who was more nuanced onstage, granting imperfections but attempting to couch them as technological waypoints rather than insoluble problems.
Lubin tried to even concede to Roubini on some of his smaller points. For example, he took on mining, saying, âI agree that the mining systems are susceptible to centralization.â
Promising that a proof-of-stake protocol for ethereum should be deployed soon, he said it will enable people to replace all that hardware infrastructure with âa bond, an economic bond on the blockchain.â He even argued that it will be more secure than bitcoinâs pioneering proof-of-work system.
In this way, some of the earlier panelists pointed to some of the very difficult challenges decentralization presents. Stefan George, the CTO and co-founder of Gnosis, a prediction market whose early 2017 initial coin offering (ICO) hinted at how big the year in crypto would be, expressed frustration at working with a slew of wallets with different configurations. âWe all need to agree on one API,â he said.
And Alex Wearn of IDEX spoke more broadly to the competitiveness of decentralized applications. âItâs not going to happen unless usability pretty much matches the centralized experience.â
Roubini was less circumspect. He said that the dapps on the market are by and large pyramid schemes.
Each time Lubin described progress, Roubini dismissed it out of hand. For example, he argued that the crypto-iluminati have been saying for years that scaling problems could be fixed.
âIâll show you the code,â Lubin offered. It was probably his biggest applause moment of the whole debate.
In another example, Roubini said âcryptocurrencyâ was a misnomer because itâs not really money. To be money, he argued, it has to be a unit of account, a means of exchange and reliable store of value.
Lubin countered by pointing out that MakerDAO has made a stable coin on ethereum that has, he said, something like $1 billion dollars in value in it. Even as ether tanked early this year, the MakerDAO token held steady at its peg with the dollar.
Roubini, however, was hardly impressed.
Still, surprisingly, if the winner were measured by who got the most big laughs or big rounds of applause, it would go to Roubini.
In fact, Roubiniâs biggest moment probably came when he first pointed out that there was no good reason for a business to limit customers with a token. He asserted that if every company only accepts tokens for its goods or services, there will be no way for people to know how to compare prices.
âYouâre going into a world of âThe Flintstonesâ or barter,â Roubini said. âItâs totally inefficient. Itâs never going to workâ
Thatâs not to say Roubini was the only one in the room with doubts, though he may have been the only one committed to them. Even Lubin didnât miss his chance to say something about forthcoming regulatory action, but he spun it the same way as everything else: a speed bump on the way.
âAlthough there will be some negative news around some of the projects that sold tokens, there will also so be some good news, and we will see a lot of that in 2018,â he said.
But again and again Roubini argued that ethereum itself should start policing scams and kicking them off the platform now, not addressing how that would run fundamentally counter to the censorship resistance ideology engineered into these platforms. But it did reflect the core idea that all of his arguments stemmed from.
He said:
âI do believe in centralization.â
So even if Lubin did win the debate, it seems clear he could never win over Roubini. Nor could Roubini ever win over him. That fundamental ambivalence, one widespread among smart people during what Lubin called âexponential times,â was well captured by another crypto diehard at the end of a prior panel.
âSome of this could be permanent that weâre putting on a blockchain,â Samantha Radocchia of the supply chain company Chronicled said. âIâd like to encourage thinking about that.â
Roubini v. Lubin photo by Brady Dale for CoinDesk.