âThis has been the peopleâs revolution,â Michael Novogratz of Galaxy Digital told the crowd at the Fluidity Summit in Williamsburg, Brooklyn on Thursday.Â
Speaking from notes written on the back of a paper plate, he added:
âWe have never had a market mania led by retail before.â
But Novogratz came to talk about the move of institutional investors into cryptocurrency following last yearâs dramatic boom in prices. Novogratz started his remarks by mentioning his companyâs own big recent development, the launch of the Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index, which tracks the most liquid assets trading on blockchains.
âIâm hoping yesterday marks the beginning of the institutionalization of crypto as an asset class,â Novogratz said, because âbig problems need big capital.âÂ
And Novogratz emphasized that he believes that cryptoâs big impacts will happen at the street-level, where regular people do things like rent rooms, ride cars and pay each other to do work.
âThe decentralized revolution is going to have its biggest impact in the retail sense,â he said, but to get there it will take the investment power of the big institutions.
Describing recent meetings with staff at Deutsche Bank, the New York Stock Exchange and Goldman Sachs, Novogratz said he believes it is happening â and this year.
âThere are three superhighways that all of you need to follow,â he advised the crowd of roughly 700 people.Â
First, computer science, where he said he tries his best to sit with his computer engineers and follow the technical underpinnings of the industry. He cited two immediate technical challenges, scaling and the proper balance between speed and security.
âWe have a bet on EOS because I think people like speed and convenience. We also have a bet on ethereum,â because it has the most developers, he said. âMy intuition is: we donât need 100 blockchains.â
He also said his intuition tells him the problems of balancing security and network scaling will get solved.
Second, he pointed to token economics, saying: âItâs the coins that are exciting.â
Novogratz stated that investors havenât thought deeply enough about the new coins.
â2018 is an important year because most of us as investors, myself included, didnât think enough about how do these tokens work? And why do they have value?â he asked.Â
Typically, itâs argued that if a protocol doesnât give reasons for buyers and sellers to hold onto a token, its value will drop to zero. Novogratz doesnât believe thatâs quite right though.
He argued that in, for example, a decentralized ridesharing protocol, a lot of riders and drivers will both hold onto a small amount of token as a speculative investment.
âThe token is a future on how many rides a token can get,â he said. As the protocol grows, it will take less of a token to buy a ride and the value of coins will grow. âEven though thatâs speculating on the future, it feels a lot like equity.â
Lastly, he mentioned institutional investors. âThe institutional herd is on the move,â he said, adding that he prays every night that established players will get into the custody game to make it happen.
âWe need custody to hit the tipping point,â he said, adding that the pension program of state employees in Wisconsin (for example) isnât going to be comfortable using a startup for custody.
âThere are three superhighways and the trucks are moving on all three superhighways,â he told the crowd, concluding:
âIâm more bullish this year than I was last year.â
Michael Novogratz photo by Brady Dale for CoinDesk.
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