The first round of stimulus checks in the U.S. in April 2020 fueled a âsignificant but modestâ bump in bitcoin trading volume and price, according to a study from the Federal Reserveâs Cleveland branch that was posted Friday.
Central bank researchers estimated the governmentâs $1,200 stimulus checks sent to Americans during the COVID-19 pandemic fueled a 3.8% jump in trading volume and a 0.7% rise in price. Overall, they estimated just 0.02% of the stimulus money ended up in bitcoin.
Framed against bitcoinâs wild volatility, these figures donât add up to much. Further noting a 0.07% âpermanent price increase,â the researchers said their findings are âmodest compared to the 4.6% standard deviationâ in bitcoinâs daily price swings. Nevertheless, the researchers said the jumps were âstatistically significant.â
The findings add some hard data to lockdown-era whispers of a government-fueled surge in $1,200 bitcoin buys. Those purchases were happening, the researchers found, but almost exclusively among young, single investors with moderate incomes.
âThis is consistent with the picture of a typical Bitcoin investor painted by surveys,â the researchers noted. Groups with a more acute need for stimulus payments, like families and the unemployed, did not ape in, they found.
Japan and South Korea also saw measurable bumps in their bitcoin markets after their governmentsâ respective stimulus rounds, according to the researchers.
Policymakers âshould not be concernedâ that crypto markets will gobble up future stimulus payments, the researchers said.