This post is part of CoinDeskâs 2019 Year in Review, a collection of 100 op-eds, interviews and takes on the state of blockchain and the world. Anthony Pompliano is the co-founder of Morgan Creek Digital.
Anthony âPompâ Pompliano is one of bitcoinâs biggest boosters. His Twitter feed is a hurricane of crypto-news, self-promotion and inspirational quotes for hodlers of heavy bags. He ends every week with a summary of bitcoinâs biggest accomplishments, always including the un-ironically cheerful: âbitcoin still not dead.â
This past year, Pomp served as cryptoâs ambassador to traditional finance in appearances on CNBCâs Squawk Box. He also defended bitcoin against notable skeptic Shark Tankâs Kevin OâLeary. Just this week, he called out Mark Cuban for saying bitcoin has âno chance.â
Pompâs playing the long game. Not only will bitcoin survive, but it will become the worldâs reserve currency, he believes (optimistically).
CoinDesk caught up with Pompliano to discuss the year in crypto, how to strike successful investments, and the ups and downs of being a public figure in crypto.
Youâve been a prominent figure in the space for a while now. In your opinion what were some of the most pivotal moments in crypto for 2019?
If you go back to the beginning of the year, I think the most significant events were the bottoming of the bear market, Libra and the significant advancements made in China. However, I think the most significant advance in crypto was made in institutional adoption, which doesnât mean institutions like banks coming aboard, but institutions like university endowments, hospital insurance the real asset allocators. They have come in in a material way.
Why are these players coming around to crypto now?
I think there is a separation between blockchain and bitcoin, and theyâve gotten comfortable with blockchain. Thereâs still discomfort with bitcoin. Itâs becoming clear weâll have an automated world, and in order for that to happen youâll need digital assets. Blockchain is just the way to keep track, itâs an accounting system. I think thatâs why weâve been successful raising capital. Thereâs a belief in blockchain fitting into other technology trends that investors are already buying into. This isnât anything different. It is actually just enhancing trends people are already buying into.
There's a stark line in the sand between Libra and bitcoin. That's helpful because it shows the value of bitcoin for people.
Could you spell out how crypto fits into the trend of automation and technological adoption.
For us, itâs a foundational component of the technological change taking place. I always joke, we never have anyone come into our office and say âHey, weâre building a Microsoft Excel Company.â If you think about automation of micro-transactions or high frequency transactions between a bunch of connected devices, thereâs no way current way to keep track of it all. If you need interoperability between systems, these public open source, permissionless ledgers allow you to do that in a really interesting way. Our investment thesis on the technology is just that blockchain will be pervasive, and to get ahead of it now rather than wait 10 years. So itâs really flipping it on its head and saying, âitâs not so much about the technology, as it is finding these great companies that happen to use this one piece of technology.â
What was Libraâs effect on investment sentiment?
Libra is actually a pretty good idea. From a sentiment standpoint, thereâs three things. One, itâs forced central banks and regulators around the world to think through their approach to cryptocurrencies. Second, the response in the United States hasnât been as positive as we would have wished. Thereâs been a lot of negative backlash, almost like a helicopter parent approach. The third thing is itâs really drawn a stark line in the sand between Libra and bitcoin. I think thatâs helpful because it shows the value of bitcoin for people, because now they have something to compare it to.
Do you think any of the backlash against Libra is is justified?Â
I actually think regulators should be less worried about Libra and more worried about digital currencies created by the banks. Facebook will be one of 100 corporations that governs Libra. The only way for a decision to be made in Libra is for multiple corporations, across continents, in different industries, some for-profit some nonprofit, to come together and make a decision. So itâd be really difficult for one player to be nefarious, because your consensus is among all of these players.
Compare that to J. P. Morgan or Wells Fargo to making decisions alone. Theyâre the only ones that are in control. My fear with the banks is theyâll launch a digital currency. Itâll be adopted internally to move capital around. Itâll move to their corporate partners. Itâll gain some retail traction. Youâll start using it to buy things. Then one day in the future, theyâll just unpeg it from the dollar. They only have to make that decision themselves. I get that people are upset, but the nuances of the structure are more important than just a binary this is good, that is bad.
The Chinese government is also working on its own digital currency. Recently members of the Federal Reserve have come out saying theyâre researching a U.S. dollar backed stablecoin. How does this fit into your worldview?Â
The U.S. today is in a defensive mindset where theyâre trying to protect the monetary supremacy they have. I just published an article, arguing that the U.S. is suffering from an âinnovatorâs dilemma.â Weâve had it really good for a long time, but when this new technology comes out, if we donât act, it will disrupt us. So the rational thing to do is to create a digital dollar. To do exactly what China is doing, but let it stand for the democratic and capitalistic ideals we hold sacred. I still think that bitcoin ends up winning out over a very long time period.
Do you think bitcoinâs ultimate success is reliant on mass consumer adoption?Â
Itâs like religion. Missionaries go to some far-off land to tell people about this God that theyâve never heard of before. And once they hear the word of God, they become believers. Maybe. But more likely, weâre going to get to a situation where you need a decentralized, non-censored, non-seizable, non-inflatable, or non-debaseable asset. And when you go looking for it, youâll find bitcoin. I believe bitcoinâs best ally is just time. And as more people get put in situations where it could be valuable to them, they will opt in.Â
What have you learned from all the time youâve been investing in digital assets?
There are three big things. One: This time is not different. All of the traditional investment lessons are true here as well â donât be emotional, have a long time preference, dollar-cost averaging â all of that remains true regardless of the asset. Second, be comfortable with non-consensus opinions. In 2016, 2017 we were public about being negative on the ICO market, and that turned out to be the right bet. Lastly, and this comes from someone who is incredibly bullish, Iâm probably underestimating how big this is. Thatâs not specifically true for bitcoin, but for the entire industry. Who would have thought in 1985 that the internet would become what it is today? Even the biggest bulls couldnât have seen it. I think we generally underestimate whatâs possible over a long period of time.
Speaking of not seeing things in perspective, was there anything that happened over the past year that completely took you by surprise?
The whole Libra situation in general. That they moved so quickly to announce it. The backlash against them. And two, the institutional adoption. We all thought that it was going to come, but the pace at which a lot of these institutions are coming to bitcoin and blockchain is pretty incredible.Â
What do we overlook in the media as far as this industry?
Itâs the issue of human nature, right? Bitcoin is the largest, most volatile, most liquid market with a price attached to it. Itâs also the longest standing and it represents the ethos of the industry are. A lot of times when people are talking about bitcoin, they use it as a stand-in for the entire industry. Thereâs plenty of other stuff that doesnât get talked about as much as it should. But thereâs also a lot of other shit that gets talked about that probably shouldnât.