More than six months since Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) revealed its vision for Bakkt, the hotly anticipated bitcoin futures market is still awaiting regulatory approval.
ICE, the parent of the New York Stock Exchange, originally planned to launch Bakkt in mid-December. Then it got pushed back to late January. Then, on New Yearâs Eve, the launch was indefinitely delayed, with ICE saying its previous Jan. 24 target âwill be amended pursuant to the CFTCâs process and timeline.â
Now, with the first quarter of 2019 nearly over, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission has yet to release Bakktâs proposed exemption for public comment. That means even if the proposal came out today, the launch canât happen until mid-April at the earliest since the commissioners have to give the public 30 days to weigh in and then take another few days to read the comments before voting on whether to approve the plan.
And as of late February, the proposal, which would allow Bakkt to custody the bitcoin trading on the platform, was still being reviewed by the CFTCâs Division of Market Oversight, two officials said.
Why the hold-up? The government shutdown, which began on Dec. 22 and lasted a record five weeks, creating backlogs at the CFTC and other agencies, surely didnât help matters. In getting caught up, the agency has prioritized other matters, mostly unrelated to crypto, including more than half a dozen enforcement actions announced since the shutdown ended.
But the ambitious nature of Bakktâs business plan is likely also a factor in drawing out the process.
To be clear: the issue is not necessarily with Bakktâs envisioned one-day futures contract, which would be physically settled, meaning the buyer would receive the actual commodity â bitcoin â at maturity.
In late February Amir Zaidi, the director of the CFTCâs Division of Market Oversight, told CoinDesk that the analysis for evaluating cash-settled bitcoin futures contracts â such as what CME Group and the Cboe offer â is slightly different from the analysis for evaluating physically-settled bitcoin futures contracts.
The different analyses examine whether the futures contracts, once offered, are âreadily susceptible to manipulation,â Zaidi said. This is a concern with cash-settled contracts, where at the end one party pays the other the difference between the spot and futures prices; if the spot price is determined from a manipulated price feed, one side is getting bilked.
With a physically settled contract like Bakktâs, âyou donât have to worry about the cash market, so some of [the] concerns [are resolved],â said Zaidi, who would not discuss the proposal any further.
Yet while the manipulation concerns associated with cash-settled contracts may be addressed by physically settled futures, Bakktâs intent to act as its own custody warehouse appears to have raised other issues.
A former CFTC staffer, who spoke on condition of anonymity because their current employer has business before the regulator, noted that generally, commodity futures exchanges use a service provider like a bank or trust to manage custody âunder the full control of the clearinghouse.â
The contracts are settled at the bank or trust, but the underlying asset would be delivered âunder the auspices of the clearinghouse, and under federal or state oversight of the bank or trust,â this lawyer said.
âIt seems to me, without more information, that Bakkt is trying to gain approval as a third-party warehouse similar to a silo where itâs controlled by the requirements put in place by the clearinghouse and the exchange, by ICEâs regulated entities in this case,â they said.
Yet Bakktâs proposal, based on what information has been publicly released to date, could result in the firm not falling under federal or state oversight.
The former CFTC staffer explained:
âWithout knowing more, the hiccup could be that Bakktâs approach is novel and complex and the [question] is do you treat the delivery point like a grain silo or do you treat the delivery point like the clearinghouse itself; and if you treat the delivery point as a grain silo does it have some sort of designation under state or federal law?â
In December, a source familiar with the CFTCâs process told CoinDesk that Bakktâs proposal to custody bitcoin on its clientsâ behalf using its own warehouse had been passed from the agencyâs staff to the commissioners.
However, it would appear this is no longer the case.
The former CFTC staffer said it is not unusual for proposals to be sent from the Commissioner level back down to staff, particularly âif [the Commissioners] are not comfortable with the direction or their questions are not answered.â
Late last month, Commissioner Brian Quintenz told a group of reporters at a derivatives conference in New York that he did not have the Bakkt proposal before him at the time, meaning he would not be able to vote on whether to release it for public comment.
When pressed about Bakkt, CFTC commissioners repeatedly referred CoinDesk to the regulatorâs work with guidance on âactual deliveryâ â a long-standing issue for the agency â to indicate that the agency is still examining the crypto space, if not specifically the Bakkt proposal.
Speaking to CoinDesk in late February, CFTC Commissioner Dan Berkowitz explained that this guidance âis one of the priorities [for] the agency,â but that there are also a number of other issues to examine (of the non-crypto-related variety).
Like Berkowitz, Quintenz referred CoinDesk to the regulatorâs examination of its actual delivery guidance.
For its part, Bakkt appears to have been continuing to build out its product and systems. In January, CEO Kelly Loeffler announced that the company was acquiring select assets belonging to Rosenthal Collins Group, a futures commission merchant.
These assets included former employees of the group, and Bakkt finalized the deal the next month.
In her January announcement, Loeffler stated that the âacquisition underlines the fact weâre not standing still as we await regulatory approval by the CFTC for the launch of regulated trading in our crypto markets.â
Loeffler did not provide any revised estimates on when Bakkt would launch.
Bakkt declined to comment for this story. But at a derivatives conference in Boca Raton, Fla., last week, chief operating officer Adam White spoke in general terms about the exchangeâs work with regulators, indicating his team recognized a need for patience.
âItâs not the world where you fill out an application, you throw it over the fence and you hope you get it back so you can launch your business,â he said, without mentioning the CFTC or the status of Bakktâs proposal. âItâs partnering and working with the regulators to help them understand what is hard fork, what a deep chain reorg is, why one blockchain or public blockchain may be sufficient and capable while another one isnât. Itâs very much the approach that weâve been taking.â
White concluded:
âAnd the regulators are going to move at the pace they are comfortable with, so that they are protecting the public.â
Anna Baydakova and Marc Hochstein contributed reporting.
Michael Casey, Kelly Loeffler and Jeffrey Sprecher image via CoinDesk archives