The chief banker at the bank for central banks, AgustÃn Carstens, cast doubt on bitcoinâs long-term viability Wednesday, saying it was only a matter of time before a 51% attack brings down the worldâs original cryptocurrency.
Carstensâ comments, which he delivered to the Hoover Institute, underscored his belief that bitcoin fails as a currency, a medium of exchange and a value storage mechanism, working only as a âspeculative assetâ and seldom as money.
He also issued a dire warning to would-be bitcoin investors: the center cannot hold:
âAbove all, investors must be cognizant that Bitcoin may well break down altogether. Scarcity and cryptography alone do not suffice to guarantee exchange,â he said.
Carstens then levied attacks against the attributes that have kept bitcoin running. He pointed out the âsad side effectâ of bitcoinâs monstrous electricity dependence, which he said is as high as Switzerlandâs where the Carstenâs organization, the Bank for International Settlements, is based. Bitcoinâs proof-of-work mechanism currently burns through reams of energy.
Carstens reserved particular bombast for what he framed as the inevitable systems failure hard-coded into bitcoinâs 21 million issuance cap. Fewer coins getting minted means fewer miners processing transactions, he said, and confirmation wait times will go up. So too will bitcoinâs vulnerability to a âmajority attack.â
âSo, clearly, if digital money is to exist, the central bank must play a pivotal role, guaranteeing the stability of value, ensuring the elasticity of the aggregate supply of such money, and overseeing the overall security of the system,â he said.
Bitcoiners were merciless in their rebuttal.
Jameson Lopp, chief technical officer at bitcoin storage startup Casa told CoinDesk Carstensâ arguemnt fails to stand up to bitcoinâs technical realities.
âBitcoin becoming attackable like other networks is not likely, because it would still require a large upfront capital expense for someone to acquire the appropriate hardware. This would only make sense in a world where another SHA256 secured network came along and became far more valuable to mine than Bitcoin,â he wrote in an email.
Castle Island Ventures partner Nic Carter issued CoinDesk a point-by-point takedown of Carstens arguments, asserting that volatility does not mean something cannot be money, and that it doesnât matter one way or another if bitcoin is money, because it is âa means to store value over time and space,â a job that Carter said bitcoin does better than gold.
Carter also said Bitcoin networkâs energy dependence is a function of price and issuance, not security or necessity.
âRegardless, the energy cost is well worth paying, because the existence of a non-state monetary commodity is something that the world finds valuable,â Carter said.